Dilin Wu
Research Strategist
Most recent articles
HSI Leads the Global Pack: Chinese AI Repricing Drives the Rally, Earnings and Policy Hold the Key
The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has led major global benchmarks since late June, with the repricing of Chinese AI assets serving as a key driver. With earnings season approaching, whether AI profitability materializes and how the policy backdrop evolves may prove decisive for whether this rally can be sustained.
Apple Q3 2026 Earnings Preview: Memory Costs Test Profitability as Options Bet on Bigger Swings
The market broadly expects Apple to deliver another solid quarter, but options are now pricing implied earnings-day volatility at nearly double the historical average, showing traders are paying up for potential uncertainty. What really drives the stock may not be whether earnings beat expectations, but whether gross margin can hold up against memory cost pressure — and how management lays out the final AI roadmap of the Cook era.
Gold Outlook: July FOMC Goes Live — All Eyes on Oil and Warsh
A pause in U.S.-Iran hostilities has pulled oil prices off their highs, but market expectations for a July Fed rate hike have picked up sharply. Gold remains rangebound, caught between shifting geopolitical dynamics and an increasingly uncertain rate path. This week, progress in Middle East talks, the Fed's rate decision, and Warsh's press conference could together determine whether gold can break out of its recent range.
US Q2 Earnings Season: Beyond the Mag 7
The Mag 7 dominates earnings season in the past, but something has shifted. The market is no longer asking whether AI demand is real. It's asking who's winning, who's losing, and how much upside is already priced in.
Tesla Q2 2026 Earnings Preview: Earnings Quality in the Short Term, AI Delivery in the Long Term
Earnings tell you about the performance, but AI tells you about the valuation. For Tesla, what really moves the stock this quarter may no longer be how many cars it sold, but whether the market is still willing to pay a premium for the future of its AI businesses — Robotaxi, FSD, and Optimus.
Gold Outlook: Geopolitical Conflict Weighs on Prices — $4,000 Is the Key Level to Watch
A cooling in U.S. June inflation briefly gave gold room to breathe, but escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and surging oil prices quickly reversed market sentiment. With the Fed entering its pre-meeting blackout period and little in the way of major data or policy signals this week, the Middle East situation could prove to be the dominant driver of gold's near-term price action — and $4,000 remains the most critical line in the sand.
US Q226 Earnings Season: Which Major Banks Report First and What to Watch
Six major US banks report earnings on 14–15 July. Five trade near record highs, but elevated expectations can cut both ways. Here's what to watch.
Gold Outlook: Ceasefire Collapses, $4,000 in Sight, CPI and Warsh Testimony in Focus
Gold's rebound was cut short last week as the U.S.-Iran situation deteriorated sharply, with the ceasefire breakdown and rising oil prices reigniting inflation fears and sending gold to a weekly loss. This week, U.S. CPI data and Warsh's congressional testimony are the key catalysts — and could determine whether gold can break out of its current range.
Oil Spikes, Then Retreats: Markets Bet on No Real Supply Hit
After Trump declared at the NATO summit that the ceasefire was "over," the US and Iran quickly resumed military action. Under conventional logic, escalating geopolitical tensions typically mean a higher risk premium for oil. Yet this time, prices gave back their gains almost as quickly as they rallied. The market's focus has shifted from the geopolitical event itself to whether it will translate into a genuine supply shock.
Gold Outlook: Jobs Miss Fuels the Rally — CPI Could Be the Real Turning Point
Gold has snapped a seven-week losing streak, with soft nonfarm payrolls and a subtle shift in the Fed's hawkish tone igniting a recovery against a backdrop of steady central bank buying. Inflation concerns haven't gone away and rate-hike expectations remain on the table. July 14 — when CPI and Warsh's congressional testimony land on the same day — could prove to be the real turning point.
Gold Outlook: $4,000 Is the Line — Doha, Warsh, and Payrolls to Decide
Gold has fallen for seven consecutive weeks, with rate headwinds and geopolitical uncertainty keeping prices under pressure around the $4,000 level. This week brings a dense cluster of risk events — the U.S.-Iran Doha talks, Warsh's Sintra debut, and the nonfarm payrolls report — any one of which could determine whether gold has the foundation to stabilize.
Bitcoin Falls Below $60K: Buyers Step Back — Three Variables to Watch
Bitcoin has broken below $60,000 for the third time this year, as a hawkish Fed pivot, pressure on Strategy's financing model, and seven consecutive weeks of ETF outflows erode bullish support one pillar at a time.
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1. Data for the Pepperstone Group, correct as at October 2025.